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The All New 21/22 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Is that it or does April have a final surprise to offer… it’s going to melt fast in this heat!!!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
AO goes negative again blah blah northern blocking, looks like a low is going to get stuck over europe, but these are notoriously fickle patterns.....models likely showing too much l'attitude

So cold from the east is nailed on....then west tracking low's to meet east tracking low's over western europe....could be med low, or biscay....too far to say still, but definitely a cool down on the way

ICON 12z thurs


GFS 06z mean anomaly fri
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Lot of moving parts into next weekend



cool in the east
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Freezing the GIF for Sat above, can see high pressure is now being forecast to sink to a lower lattitude over Scandi / north sea.....just a few Op runs but it's a familiar theme

ECM 12z


GFS 12z tasty for the SW
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Still watching the weather coz there's a lot going on.......April is the best month for northern blocking to get undercut, which is often followed by northerlies, maybe around month end.
UK will be way below average next week due to easterly via north sea....would have been a lot of snow in winter with this pattern

ECM latest for sat, coming in warm intially towards alps before the SW low crosses


GFS snow at altitude but could easily be a brief snow dump to lower levels, 12z was good to 1500m in the NW
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PdG on Weds am. Going to be a struggle to ski into town. That forecast would certainly help though if it comes to fruition!
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Could well be one last hurrah but how many times have we seen forecasts like these come and go, well for us down Sarf at least?

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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
An article about the very low snow amounts on the alpine passes which means the roads are opening earlier than planned https://www.wetteronline.de/wetterticker/05a50b85-55c3-4886-812d-a4b431cf56c0
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Nice little top up this morning. Looks like South side got plastered!

http://youtube.com/v/_bmJYOFFHKk
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 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
And more coming Sunday/Monday
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Snow to 1400m in the NW last night, warming slightly Monday.....but last lift served day in Avoriaz today should be good

With undercut complete, high pressure set to migrate further into Greenland and open the nord stau gates may 2-3rd

Here are the 3 main mean anomaly charts, 9 days out...looks more NW than N on these





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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Still getting snow in the PNW. Should be below freezing temps and light snow flurries tonight and on Saturday. Lifts still spinning, albeit half as many for half as long. Watching the snow come down at Mt. Bachelor on the snow cams for a nice refresh for Friday.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
No such luck here in europe, charts for next week show how far east the whole pattern has moved, put this one in the 20% fail bucket (at 8-10 days out).



Continuing the theme of the season, where these methods have predicted about 10 out of every 7 snowfalls.......if there even were 7.

Still, remaining largely below average temps over the next 10 days with cold air from the NE.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Going warm after today's snow fest in the PNW.

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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Went cold again and snowing in the Northern and Southern Cascades.

Because of all the Spring time snow Crystal Mtn. has extended its season through May (Fri., Sat., Sun. only)
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Storm in progress in Oregon. Could be some challenging conditions with high winds and heavy wet snow. Good for the base Toofy Grin

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET...

* WHAT...Wet snow expected above 5000 feet. Total snow
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Westerly wind gusting 35 to 45
mph across exposed ridges and mountain passes will lead to
blowing and drifting snow, at times, as well as greatly reduced
visibilities.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
The storm delivered. Higher end of the forecast and then some. Snowstake approaching 10" at Bachelor Toofy Grin



Was coming down good and hard all morning with temps in the -3C to -5C range. Should see continued flurries and light snow for Sunday as well. Old Man Winter keeping it going in the PNW!
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Hard to believe this late in the season but there's been a persistent pattern of cold air flowing down from the Gulf of AK driving unseasonably cool temps and moisture into the Cascades. Another storm on the way for Tuesday. Will be a bit warmer. FL will be right around 5,000-6,000 feet. Not a big storm, but could see around 5" - 7" of snow Thursday into Friday morning. Will be heavy, wet and sticky. But, it's May, so we'll take what we can get!
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The weather omens are for a hotter than average summer in most of Europe

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/summer-2022-forecast-seasonal-update-united-states-europe-fa/

not looking good for the glaciers.
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Thanks @munich_irish, that is interesting. Hot and dry pretty much everywhere except northern Scandinavia.

It is a bit ominous that they think the La Nina effect will continue through the autumn, might mean the Alps won't get a good snow base.
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@j b, all these type of longer term outlooks are pretty general, not sure you can predict autumn snowfall from this. An ongoing LaNina event will tend to influence the weather in certain ways (eg wet in parts of Australia) but it is a balance of probilities rather than a forecast.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Hail, in London, in May.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
The Cairngorms had some snow last week I think. Meanwhile it’s still very dry here in North Yorkshire. In fact it’s been very dry on the east side of the Pennines since November 2020. The peat is as dry on the Moors as I’ve ever known. The worry is that once this pattern resets and we lose the block, it wont not stop raining here for months.
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^ It did indeed snow because I was in it ! It was forecast to be fair and it was properly bitter - 55mph winds and wind chill of -5 plus
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Temperature peaking at 30c plus on Friday in the south east of England. Potentially warm enough here to switch our heating off snowHead
Meanwhile temperature down to freezing on Friday night on Ben Nevis. What a contrast Shocked
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Met office automated forecast is now up to 32cfor London on Friday but only 23c here in North Yorkshire. Ben Nevis summit now forecasting sleet and max of 3c on Saturday, Min of 0c.
UK summer Laughing
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@Peter S, So on average, its an average summer's day!

Glad I no longer have to commute on the Tube though.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Met O output now showing frost tonight and light snow on Ben Nevis on Saturday and Sunday, so not blisteringly hot everywhere in the UK Laughing
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Sad for our kids and grand-kids...

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-10934777/Snow-days-Alps-HALVE-without-faster-action-stop-climate-change.html
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Longest day has passed and no new weather thread.. Sad
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